Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.003324 0.003486 0.003651 0.003833 0.004028 0.004230 0.004456
2025-06-08 0.003019 0.003258 0.003512 0.003803 0.004127 0.004480 0.004893
2025-06-15 0.002802 0.003080 0.003384 0.003742 0.004152 0.004613 0.005171
2025-06-22 0.002638 0.002943 0.003283 0.003691 0.004171 0.004723 0.005412
2025-06-29 0.002534 0.002863 0.003236 0.003693 0.004243 0.004889 0.005717
2025-07-06 0.002382 0.002718 0.003104 0.003584 0.004172 0.004876 0.005796
2025-07-13 0.002308 0.002660 0.003069 0.003587 0.004232 0.005019 0.006071
2025-07-20 0.002267 0.002638 0.003076 0.003637 0.004349 0.005235 0.006446
2025-07-27 0.002189 0.002567 0.003019 0.003605 0.004359 0.005313 0.006640
2025-08-03 0.002122 0.002507 0.002972 0.003582 0.004378 0.005400 0.006848
2025-08-10 0.002059 0.002449 0.002924 0.003556 0.004389 0.005475 0.007042
2025-08-17 0.002037 0.002442 0.002940 0.003610 0.004507 0.005696 0.007446
2025-08-24 0.001987 0.002397 0.002906 0.003598 0.004537 0.005801 0.007693
2025-08-31 0.001931 0.002344 0.002861 0.003570 0.004543 0.005871 0.007892
2025-09-07 0.001868 0.002279 0.002797 0.003514 0.004508 0.005881 0.008001
2025-09-14 0.001812 0.002221 0.002741 0.003467 0.004483 0.005903 0.008128
2025-09-21 0.001779 0.002193 0.002722 0.003469 0.004526 0.006022 0.008408
2025-09-28 0.001708 0.002112 0.002632 0.003370 0.004421 0.005921 0.008339
2025-10-05 0.001679 0.002087 0.002616 0.003372 0.004462 0.006036 0.008615
2025-10-12 0.001668 0.002085 0.002631 0.003418 0.004566 0.006250 0.009059
2025-10-19 0.001630 0.002046 0.002593 0.003389 0.004559 0.006292 0.009225
2025-10-26 0.001597 0.002013 0.002562 0.003368 0.004562 0.006351 0.009421
2025-11-02 0.001564 0.001979 0.002530 0.003343 0.004560 0.006401 0.009601